Auda 1-2 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 Mar 2026

Auda
1-2 HT 1-1
Riga FC
📅20/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
61%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
28%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
19%
-0.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
61%
Away Win
59%
+2.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.0pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.39
-34% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
205 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
28.0 Crosses 25.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Riga FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.43 xG 2.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
330 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 39
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Auda Auda LETK
13.09.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Auda Auda LET
27.06.2025 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
05.05.2025 Auda Auda 1-3 HT 0-3 Riga FC Riga FC LET
10.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
14.09.2024 Auda Auda 2-2 HT 1-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-2
AWAY Riga FC
1.79 xG 2.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
226 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 37
11 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auda vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC edged past Auda 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Auda had 45% of the ball to Riga FC's 55%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.79 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Auda and 2.83 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Auda vs Riga FC?

Auda 1-2 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Auda 18%, draw 21%, Riga FC 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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