Wadi Degla 2-1 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 12 May 2026

📅12/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.7
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 39% vs market 35.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wadi Degla EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.89/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.94
+3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.3 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wadi Degla
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ismaily
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
266 Passes 239
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2026 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 0-1 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
17.01.2026 Ismaily Ismaily 1-2 HT 1-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSRLK
20.08.2021 Ismaily Ismaily 0-2 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.03.2021 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
19.08.2020 Ismaily Ismaily 1-1 HT 0-0 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla MSR
05.10.2019 Wadi Degla Wadi Degla 0-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wadi Degla
2-1
AWAY Ismaily
1.11 xG 0.59
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
360 Passes 218
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wadi Degla vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wadi Degla squeezed past Ismaily 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wadi Degla as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wadi Degla had 59% of the ball to Ismaily's 41%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wadi Degla had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wadi Degla and 0.67 for Ismaily.

What was the final score of Wadi Degla vs Ismaily?

Wadi Degla 2-1 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 12/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wadi Degla vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wadi Degla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wadi Degla 45%, draw 31%, Ismaily 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wadi Degla) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wadi Degla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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