Babrungas 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.61
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
70%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babrungas EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 16%
+14% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
2.60/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/2.56
+18% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babrungas
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Babrungas Babrungas 3-1 HT 2-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
16.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 1-0 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
31.08.2023 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 HT 0-1 Babrungas Babrungas LIT1
14.04.2023 Babrungas Babrungas 1-0 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Babrungas
3-1
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris II
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babrungas beat Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Babrungas as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Babrungas had 51% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris II's 49%, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Babrungas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Babrungas and 0.75 for Kauno Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Babrungas 3-1 Kauno Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babrungas vs Kauno Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babrungas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Babrungas 56%, draw 22%, Kauno Zalgiris II 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babrungas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babrungas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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