Tobacco Road 2-3 Charlotte Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 12 Jun 2025

📅12/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.2pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tobacco Road EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Eagles EU Bookmakers 36%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.12
-43% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobacco Road
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlotte Eagles
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.80
17.06.2024 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 2-2 HT 0-1 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles USL2
18.05.2024 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles 4-0 HT 3-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
13.07.2023 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles USL2
25.05.2023 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles 4-0 HT 1-0 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road USL2
17.07.2022 Tobacco Road Tobacco Road 2-3 HT 2-1 Charlotte Eagles Charlotte Eagles USL2
POST-MATCH Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Eagles edged past Tobacco Road 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Charlotte Eagles made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlotte Eagles led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tobacco Road and 2.80 for Charlotte Eagles.

What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles?

Tobacco Road 2-3 Charlotte Eagles in the USA - USL League 2 on 12/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Charlotte Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobacco Road win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 37%, draw 29%, Charlotte Eagles 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tobacco Road) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tobacco Road) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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