Stenungsund 0-4 Ahlafors IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 12 Jun 2026

📅12/06/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+7.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.2pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenungsund EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.85/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.10
+9% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenungsund
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Ahlafors IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16.08.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
20.04.2024 Stenungsund Stenungsund 0-0 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
01.10.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 3-2 HT 0-2 Stenungsund Stenungsund İSÇ4
25.08.2021 Stenungsund Stenungsund 1-2 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stenungsund
0-4
AWAY Ahlafors IF
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF cruised past Stenungsund 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Stenungsund at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Stenungsund had 51% of the ball to Ahlafors IF's 49%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stenungsund and 1.50 for Ahlafors IF.

What was the final score of Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF?

Stenungsund 0-4 Ahlafors IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 12/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenungsund vs Ahlafors IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenungsund win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stenungsund 45%, draw 24%, Ahlafors IF 32%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stenungsund), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stenungsund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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