ADT vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Cristal
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
ADT
PER
4-2
HT 1-0
ADT
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
ADT 3-1 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
ADT got the better of Sporting Cristal 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, ADT had 54% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 46%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ADT and 2.40 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
ADT 3-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ADT 45%, draw 26%, Sporting Cristal 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.