Union Comercio 1-2 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.90/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.78
+16% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
21.1 Crosses 24.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Comercio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.51 xG 1.70
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Comercio
1-2
AWAY Cultural San
2.28 xG 2.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 169
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Comercio vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San nicked a narrow win over Union Comercio 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Union Comercio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Union Comercio had 60% of the ball to Cultural San's 40%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.28 to 2.23.

What was the final score of Union Comercio vs Cultural San?

Union Comercio 1-2 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Comercio vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Comercio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Union Comercio 41%, draw 27%, Cultural San 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Comercio) ✗ Under 2.5
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