Cultural San 2-1 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
Crosses 11.0
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-1
AWAY Union Comercio
1.70 xG 0.51
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
218 Passes 270
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San edged past Union Comercio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cultural San had 45% of the ball to Union Comercio's 55%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 1.70 to 0.51.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Union Comercio?

Cultural San 2-1 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 56%, draw 26%, Union Comercio 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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