Alianza Lima vs Cesar Vallejo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Cesar Vallejo — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Cesar Vallejo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
3-2
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-2
HT 0-1
Cesar Vallejo
PER
Alianza Lima 2-1 Cesar Vallejo — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima edged past Cesar Vallejo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 39% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 61%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 1.74 to 0.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.00 for Cesar Vallejo.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Cesar Vallejo?
Alianza Lima 2-1 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Cesar Vallejo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 47%, draw 27%, Cesar Vallejo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.