Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Jan 2024

📅29/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
45%
Away Win
56%
-11.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario EU Bookmakers 60%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +10%
1.06/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.77
-5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +8%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
188 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 81%
15.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
18.3 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Universitario
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
229 Passes 342
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
06.10.2022 Universitario Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
15.05.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
31.07.2021 Universitario Universitario 1-3 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
23.05.2021 Universitario Universitario 0-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
22.09.2020 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-2 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
0-4
AWAY Universitario
0.59 xG 2.63
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
169 Passes 267
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario ran out comfortable winners over Carlos Manucci Trujillo 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 43% of the ball to Universitario's 57%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.59 to 2.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 1.00 for Universitario.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Universitario?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-4 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 29/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 24%, draw 31%, Universitario 45%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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