Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+6.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
43%
Away Win
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 51%
-41% / -41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-1 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
23.06.2024 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
27.08.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-0 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR1
10.09.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
02.05.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-1 HT 1-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
06.12.2014 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0-1
AWAY Vitebsk
47% Ball Possession 53%
2 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitebsk edged past Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vitebsk as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 47% of the ball to Vitebsk's 53%, shots finished 2-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitebsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.33 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk?

Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Cup on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitebsk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 32%, draw 25%, Vitebsk 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitebsk) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitebsk)
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