Sortland 0-4 Baerum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.78
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
10%
+9.2pp
17%
Draw
11%
+6.0pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-15.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sortland EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Baerum EU Bookmakers 84%
+77% / +77% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.98/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.09/0.99
+65% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +10%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
206 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sortland
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baerum
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Baerum Baerum 1-2 HT 0-2 Sortland Sortland NOR4
POST-MATCH Sortland vs Baerum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baerum swept aside Sortland 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Baerum as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Sortland vs Baerum?

Sortland 0-4 Baerum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sortland vs Baerum?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baerum win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Sortland 19%, draw 17%, Baerum 64%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baerum), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Baerum) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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