Nardo 1-3 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.7pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nardo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 48%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.52/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.95
+80% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +91%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
372 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nardo
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.05.2025 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 3-0 HT 3-0 Nardo Nardo NOR4
27.07.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 1-2 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
01.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
16.10.2022 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
29.05.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 2-1 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Nardo vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade got the better of Nardo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (42% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; Trygg/Lade found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nardo had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Nardo and 1.60 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Nardo vs Trygg/Lade?

Nardo 1-3 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nardo vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nardo 42%, draw 19%, Trygg/Lade 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nardo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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