Trygg/Lade 1-2 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 39%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.61
+46% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
296 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Nardo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
16.10.2022 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
29.05.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 2-1 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nardo squeezed past Trygg/Lade 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trygg/Lade at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trygg/Lade and 3.33 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Nardo?

Trygg/Lade 1-2 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 47%, draw 24%, Nardo 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trygg/Lade) ✗ BTTS No
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