Tiller 2-1 Orkla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Jul 2024

Tiller
2-1 HT 1-0
Orkla
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.1pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.6pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Orkla EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.92/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.32
-26% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Orkla
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.08.2023 Tiller Tiller 2-2 HT 1-1 Orkla Orkla NOR4
29.05.2023 Orkla Orkla 2-3 HT 2-1 Tiller Tiller NOR4
03.09.2022 Orkla Orkla 4-3 HT 3-1 Tiller Tiller NOR4
04.06.2022 Tiller Tiller 2-3 HT 1-1 Orkla Orkla NOR4
23.10.2021 Tiller Tiller 4-0 HT 3-0 Orkla Orkla NOR4
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Orkla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tiller edged past Orkla 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tiller as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Tiller and 2.20 for Orkla.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Orkla?

Tiller 2-1 Orkla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Orkla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Tiller 58%, draw 17%, Orkla 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tiller), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tiller) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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