Gjellerasen 2-2 Skedsmo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.66
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
17%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
56%
+6.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
17%
Away Win
24%
-6.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.7pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Skedsmo EU Bookmakers 28%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.37/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.52
-43% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gjellerasen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Skedsmo
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Skedsmo Skedsmo 1-2 HT 1-1 Gjellerasen Gjellerasen NOR4
07.10.2023 Gjellerasen Gjellerasen 6-1 HT 3-0 Skedsmo Skedsmo NOR4
POST-MATCH Gjellerasen vs Skedsmo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gjellerasen and Skedsmo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gjellerasen at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gjellerasen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Gjellerasen and 1.00 for Skedsmo.

What was the final score of Gjellerasen vs Skedsmo?

Gjellerasen 2-2 Skedsmo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gjellerasen vs Skedsmo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gjellerasen win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gjellerasen 62%, draw 21%, Skedsmo 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gjellerasen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gjellerasen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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