Byasen 1-3 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.5pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-14.4pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Byasen EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -15%
1.87/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/3.59
-28% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Byasen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lilleström II
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Lilleström II Lilleström II 2-5 HT 1-3 Byasen Byasen NOR4
POST-MATCH Byasen vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II got the better of Byasen 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Byasen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Byasen vs Lilleström II?

Byasen 1-3 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Byasen vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Byasen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Byasen 47%, draw 21%, Lilleström II 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Byasen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Byasen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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