Melhus 2-0 Surnadal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.6pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Surnadal EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.58/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.65
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
456 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Surnadal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus beat Surnadal 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Surnadal?

Melhus 2-0 Surnadal in the Norway - 3rd Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Surnadal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Melhus 49%, draw 28%, Surnadal 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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