Trygg/Lade 3-0 Nardo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 May 2025

📅23/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-9.1pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.4pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.0pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nardo EU Bookmakers 39%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.70/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
-17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Nardo
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 1-2 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
01.06.2024 Nardo Nardo 4-1 HT 2-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
16.10.2022 Nardo Nardo 5-1 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
29.05.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 2-1 HT 0-1 Nardo Nardo NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trygg/Lade
3-0
AWAY Nardo
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade cruised past Nardo 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Trygg/Lade made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (63%) missed.

On the day, Trygg/Lade had 45% of the ball to Nardo's 55%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nardo led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Trygg/Lade and 3.00 for Nardo.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Nardo?

Trygg/Lade 3-0 Nardo in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Nardo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nardo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 32%, draw 32%, Nardo 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Nardo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nardo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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