Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Atletico v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico squeezed past Sport Boys 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Alianza Atletico had 75% of the ball to Sport Boys's 25%, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 1.71 to 0.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Atletico's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.00 for Sport Boys.
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Result & Final Score
Alianza Atletico 1 - 0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 62%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.