Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Sport Boys
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
1-2
HT 0-1
Sport Boys
PER
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico squeezed past Sport Boys 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 75% of the ball to Sport Boys's 25%, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 1.71 to 0.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Atletico's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Boys led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.00 for Sport Boys.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Alianza Atletico 1-0 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Sport Boys?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 53%, draw 27%, Sport Boys 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.