Binacional vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Binacional v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
Binacional vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Melgar
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Binacional
PER
2-1
HT 1-0
Binacional
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-5
HT 0-2
Melgar
PER
1-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
Binacional 1-1 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Binacional and Melgar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
This one beat our numbers. Melgar carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Binacional had 35% of the ball to Melgar's 65%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.09 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melgar led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Binacional and 2.17 for Melgar.
What was the final score of Binacional vs Melgar?
Binacional 1-1 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Binacional vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Binacional 20%, draw 25%, Melgar 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.