UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.98/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.66
-19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
218 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
12.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
21.5 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.31
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
191 Passes 322
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
04.05.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
06.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
05.03.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
28.08.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
10.04.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
0-0
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.56 xG 0.96
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
122 Passes 386
61% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca and Alianza Lima played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza Lima at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 31% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 69%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.56 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?

UTC Cajamarca 0-0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 25%, draw 26%, Alianza Lima 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Lima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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