UTA Arad 3-3 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 12 Jul 2025

📅12/07/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.31/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.29
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
190 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
18.0 Crosses 21.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTA Arad
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.99 xG 1.82
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 529
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-2 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
20.07.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 4-2 HT 1-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
20.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 2-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
01.11.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROMK
18.08.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 3-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
10.03.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTA Arad
3-3
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.99 xG 2.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
260 Passes 308
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 23
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad and Universitatea Craiova couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, UTA Arad had 47% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 53%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 1.99 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UTA Arad and 2.33 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova?

UTA Arad 3-3 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTA Arad vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UTA Arad 29%, draw 28%, Universitatea Craiova 43%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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