Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Orange County SC — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterey Bay 2-1 Orange County SC — Actual Match Statistics
Monterey Bay edged past Orange County SC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Orange County SC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.
On the day, Orange County SC saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.51 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Monterey Bay against 1.00 for Orange County SC.
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 2 - 1 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 12/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Orange County SC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 28%, draw 27%, Orange County SC 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orange County SC), Under 2.5 went the other way.