Cobreloa 1-0 La Serena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY La Serena EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.42/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.85
+25% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 78%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
18.8 Crosses 12.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cobreloa
1W-1D-2L
AWAY La Serena
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
28.06.2026 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 2-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİK
06.08.2023 Cobreloa Cobreloa 1-0 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİB
19.03.2023 La Serena La Serena 1-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
07.11.2015 La Serena La Serena 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
POST-MATCH Cobreloa vs La Serena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobreloa edged past La Serena 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cobreloa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, La Serena led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cobreloa and 0.75 for La Serena.

What was the final score of Cobreloa vs La Serena?

Cobreloa 1-0 La Serena in the Chile - Cup on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cobreloa vs La Serena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cobreloa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cobreloa 46%, draw 24%, La Serena 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cobreloa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cobreloa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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