San Luis De Quillota 4-0 U. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 12 Jul 2026

📅12/07/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
57%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
+0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Luis De Quillota EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 59%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.27/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.27
+108% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
163 · 89% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 185 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Luis De Quillota
3W-1D-2L
AWAY U. Catolica
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.31 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
156 Passes 204
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2026 U. Catolica 4-2 HT 2-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİK
04.04.2025 U. Catolica 2-3 HT 1-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİLİK
02.02.2025 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 2-1 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
23.09.2018 U. Catolica 2-1 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
30.04.2018 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota 1-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
05.11.2017 U. Catolica 0-2 HT 0-1 San Luis De Quillota San Luis De Quillota ŞİL
POST-MATCH San Luis De Quillota vs U. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Luis De Quillota swept aside U. Catolica 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had U. Catolica at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Luis De Quillota had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Luis De Quillota and 1.67 for U. Catolica.

What was the final score of San Luis De Quillota vs U. Catolica?

San Luis De Quillota 4-0 U. Catolica in the Chile - Cup on 12/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Luis De Quillota vs U. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split San Luis De Quillota 22%, draw 21%, U. Catolica 57%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5
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