İA Akranes 1-0 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
42%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
32%
+10.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
2.52/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.66
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
33.1 Crosses 23.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 2.58
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
501 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
08.10.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-2 HT 1-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
25.07.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-4 HT 0-2 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
02.05.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
23.06.2021 İA Akranes İA Akranes 3-0 HT 3-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZK
11.08.2013 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-0 HT 1-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-0
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
0.53 xG 0.82
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
372 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes nicked a narrow win over Fram Reykjavik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fram Reykjavik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 55% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 45%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.53 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İA Akranes and 1.50 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik?

İA Akranes 1-0 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 36%, draw 22%, Fram Reykjavik 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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