KR Reykjavik 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-9.3pp
31%
Draw
24%
+6.6pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.3pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.71/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.88
-16% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -45%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
24.3 Crosses 18.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.54 xG 1.87
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
257 Passes 225
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 HT 0-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
07.10.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
28.08.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.05.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-0
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
0.75 xG 1.06
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
226 Passes 298
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik squeezed past FH Hafnarfjordur 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; KR Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 45% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 55%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.75 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.50 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

KR Reykjavik 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated an FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 30%, draw 31%, FH Hafnarfjordur 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
12 Aug 2024
21:15 İA Akranes vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →