AZ Alkmaar II 6-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Aug 2024

AZ Alkmaar II
6-1 HT 4-1
Roda
📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.08
1/2
8%
22.3
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.25
X/1
12%
6.5
X/2
13%
5.11
X/X
9%
5.75
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
18%
2.93
2/X
4%
13.1
Value flag · 1/X at 13.25 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AZ Alkmaar II v Roda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ Alkmaar II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 48%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -29%
1.28/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
+12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
9.6 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Roda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.77 xG 1.63
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
354 Passes 363
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2024 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
06.10.2023 Roda Roda 3-1 HT 2-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
13.03.2023 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
07.11.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-0 HT 2-0 Roda Roda HOL2
04.04.2022 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
19.11.2021 Roda Roda 2-2 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2

AZ Alkmaar II 6-1 Roda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
6-1
AWAY Roda
1.97 xG 2.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 10
377 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar II cruised past Roda 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 55% of the ball to Roda's 45%, shots finished 19-17, expected goals 1.97 to 2.47 — on chances, Roda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.33 for Roda.

What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda?

AZ Alkmaar II 6-1 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 34%, draw 27%, Roda 39%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Roda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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