Valour 0-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.69
-48% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.5 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
3W-1D-2L
AWAY York United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
346 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.06.2024 Valour Valour 1-0 HT 1-0 York United York United CAPL
11.05.2024 York United York United 3-1 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
09.09.2023 York United York United 1-3 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
24.07.2023 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL
04.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
16.04.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
0-1
AWAY York United
1.73 xG 2.01
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
250 Passes 482
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valour vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United edged past Valour 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; York United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valour had 38% of the ball to York United's 62%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.73 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valour had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valour and 1.17 for York United.

What was the final score of Valour vs York United?

Valour 0-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Valour 36%, draw 27%, York United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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