Valour 1-0 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.91
2-3 Goals
46%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
3.16
6+ Goals
7%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valour EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.37
-9% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
17.5 Crosses 26.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valour
2W-1D-3L
AWAY York United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 355
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 York United York United 3-1 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
09.09.2023 York United York United 1-3 HT 0-1 Valour Valour CAPL
24.07.2023 Valour Valour 1-2 HT 1-2 York United York United KAPL
04.06.2023 Valour Valour 1-1 HT 0-0 York United York United KAPL
16.04.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-0 Valour Valour KAPL
24.09.2022 York United York United 3-1 HT 1-1 Valour Valour KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valour
1-0
AWAY York United
0.91 xG 1.15
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 7
260 Passes 444
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 37
9 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valour vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valour squeezed past York United 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Valour found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Valour had 38% of the ball to York United's 62%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.91 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valour and 1.67 for York United.

What was the final score of Valour vs York United?

Valour 1-0 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valour vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated an York United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valour 36%, draw 25%, York United 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (York United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (York United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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