Pacific FC 1-2 Vancouver FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 28 Jun 2024

📅28/06/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 30% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver FC EU Bookmakers 29%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.13/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
-2% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -36%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.1 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.81 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
395 Passes 274
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
01.10.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC CAPL
19.08.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 3-2 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
03.06.2023 Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 3-6 HT 2-2 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-2
AWAY Vancouver FC
2.00 xG 0.61
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver FC nicked a narrow win over Pacific FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Vancouver FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pacific FC had 54% of the ball to Vancouver FC's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.00 to 0.61 — on chances, Pacific FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vancouver FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Pacific FC and 2.50 for Vancouver FC.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?

Pacific FC 1-2 Vancouver FC in the Kanada - Premier League on 28/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 40%, draw 29%, Vancouver FC 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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