Trygg/Lade 1-3 Stromsgodset II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.61
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
41%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.94
Over 2.5
69%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
58%
-16.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
23%
+17.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
22%
+9.7pp
69%
Over 2.5
78%
-9.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset II EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.68/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.45
+4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +58%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trygg/Lade
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 5
15.06.2024 Stromsgodset II Stromsgodset II 0-1 HT 0-1 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trygg/Lade
1-3
AWAY Stromsgodset II
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trygg/Lade vs Stromsgodset II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset II beat Trygg/Lade 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 18% / 41%) promised a tight game; Stromsgodset II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Trygg/Lade had 49% of the ball to Stromsgodset II's 51%, shots finished 18-9.

What was the final score of Trygg/Lade vs Stromsgodset II?

Trygg/Lade 1-3 Stromsgodset II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trygg/Lade vs Stromsgodset II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trygg/Lade win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Trygg/Lade 41%, draw 18%, Stromsgodset II 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (41/18/41) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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