Rosenborg II 2-1 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-6.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.2pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 62%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.42/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/2.28
-16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Tiller
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.06.2024 Tiller Tiller 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
09.09.2023 Tiller Tiller 1-1 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
24.07.2023 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 0-2 HT 0-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
22.08.2022 Tiller Tiller 2-2 HT 0-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
30.05.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 3-1 HT 1-0 Tiller Tiller NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
2-1
AWAY Tiller
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg II nicked a narrow win over Tiller 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tiller at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 41% of the ball to Tiller's 59%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rosenborg II and 1.60 for Tiller.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Tiller?

Rosenborg II 2-1 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 27%, draw 23%, Tiller 50%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tiller) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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