Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.95
6+ Goals
12%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.73
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.36
X/2
13%
5.54
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.9
2/X
8%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
35%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +17%
1.45/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.22
-12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.5 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.26 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
311 Passes 469
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
02.12.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 2-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
26.09.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.05.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
23.01.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1-1
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.61 xG 0.30
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
345 Passes 226
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor and Başakşehir FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 59% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 41%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.00 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs Başakşehir FK?

Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 31%, draw 29%, Başakşehir FK 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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