Bodrum FK 0-1 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 12 Aug 2024

📅12/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
5.04
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.9
X/1
12%
4.17
X/2
14%
6.96
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
7%
5.9
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
Crosses 16.1
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TÜK
19.09.2017 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-2 HT 0-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
0-1
AWAY Gaziantep FK
0.77 xG 0.29
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
353 Passes 184
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Bodrum FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 62% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 38%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.77 to 0.29 — on chances, Bodrum FK could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gaziantep FK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.50 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Gaziantep FK?

Bodrum FK 0-1 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 12/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 42%, draw 30%, Gaziantep FK 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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