Fenerbahçe 5-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 12 Aug 2025

📅12/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.79
6+ Goals
14%
7.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.91
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
18%
4.18
X/2
6%
11.15
X/X
6%
6.45
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.95
2/2
6%
8.45
2/X
6%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 14% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
61%
+2.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-0.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.75/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/2.22
-52% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -17%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
442 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 81%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
31.0 Crosses 9.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.68 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe ŞMP
21.07.2018 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-3 HT 3-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HAZ
08.12.2016 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe AVL
29.09.2016 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
5-2
AWAY Feyenoord
1.72 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
236 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe swept aside Feyenoord 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 46% of the ball to Feyenoord's 54%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.72 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.25 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord?

Fenerbahçe 5-2 Feyenoord in the Champions League on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 63%, draw 19%, Feyenoord 17%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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