Feyenoord 2-1 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
20%
5.67
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
11%
4.98
2/1
6%
25.0
2/2
16%
3.92
2/X
7%
12.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 38%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.98/2.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.07/0.06
-36% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -95% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
369 Passes 306
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2018 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-3 HT 3-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HAZ
08.12.2016 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe AVL
29.09.2016 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-0 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-1
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.70 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
296 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord edged past Fenerbahçe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Feyenoord made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 45% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 55%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Feyenoord and 1.67 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe?

Feyenoord 2-1 Fenerbahçe in the Champions League on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 40%, draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
6 Aug 2025
18:00 Kairat vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →
20:00 Salzburg vs Club Brugge Analysis →
20:30 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
21:30 Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
22:00 Nice vs Benfica Analysis →