Nice 0-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Aug 2025

Nice
0-2 HT 0-0
Benfica
📅06/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Nice vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
13%
6.25
X/2
12%
5.45
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nice v Benfica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nice EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.99
-28% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
12.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Nice vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benfica
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
The Meetings
15.07.2022 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 3-0 Nice Nice HAZ

Nice 0-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nice
0-2
AWAY Benfica
0.99 xG 1.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 419
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nice vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica saw off Nice 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Benfica made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nice had 47% of the ball to Benfica's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.99 to 1.90.

What was the final score of Nice vs Benfica?

Nice 0-2 Benfica in the Champions League on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nice vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Nice 40%, draw 26%, Benfica 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nice) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
6 Aug 2025
18:00 Kairat vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →
20:00 Salzburg vs Club Brugge Analysis →
20:30 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
21:30 Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
22:00 Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →