Salzburg 0-1 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
3.03
6+ Goals
10%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.86
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
18%
6.12
X/2
15%
5.71
X/X
9%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.98/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/0.95
-47% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.7 Crosses 26.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Club Brugge
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 354
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge AVL
14.02.2019 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
0-1
AWAY Club Brugge
1.82 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
390 Passes 465
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
37 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge edged past Salzburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Club Brugge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Salzburg had 46% of the ball to Club Brugge's 54%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.82 to 1.28 — on chances, Salzburg could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Salzburg and 1.00 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Club Brugge?

Salzburg 0-1 Club Brugge in the Champions League on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 40%, draw 23%, Club Brugge 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
6 Aug 2025
18:00 Kairat vs Slovan Bratislava Analysis →
20:30 Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvaros Analysis →
21:30 Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
22:00 Feyenoord vs Fenerbahçe Analysis →
22:00 Nice vs Benfica Analysis →