Lech Poznan 1-3 Kızılyıldız — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 6 Aug 2025

📅06/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
36%
+8.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 43%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.85/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.81
-39% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +61%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
Crosses 30.8
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
1-3
AWAY Kızılyıldız
0.68 xG 1.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 260
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız beat Lech Poznan 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 60% of the ball to Kızılyıldız's 40%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.42.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız?

Lech Poznan 1-3 Kızılyıldız in the Champions League on 06/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Kızılyıldız?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 45%, draw 25%, Kızılyıldız 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lech Poznan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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