Monza 2-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Aug 2025

Monza
2-2 HT 1-1
Inter
📅12/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
59%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.51
2-3 Goals
42%
2.01
4-5 Goals
19%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
11.55
1/2
6%
18.9
1/X
6%
20.4
X/1
7%
15.1
X/2
12%
4.01
X/X
8%
8.1
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
41%
1.61
2/X
4%
18.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.3pp
59%
Away Win
68%
-9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monza EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 72%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.58/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.05
+41% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
240 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.1
Crosses 20.3
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monza
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Inter
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.90 xG 2.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
383 Passes 444
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Inter Inter 3-2 HT 1-2 Monza Monza İTA
15.09.2024 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
13.01.2024 Monza Monza 1-5 HT 0-2 Inter Inter İTA
19.08.2023 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
15.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTA
07.01.2023 Monza Monza 2-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monza
2-2
AWAY Inter
1.21 xG 1.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
400 Passes 470
89% Pass Accuracy 92%
16 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Monza vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monza and Inter shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Inter carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Monza had 47% of the ball to Inter's 53%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 1.21 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monza and 2.17 for Inter.

What was the final score of Monza vs Inter?

Monza 2-2 Inter in the Friendlies on 12/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monza vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monza 23%, draw 18%, Inter 59%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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