Alcorcon 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Aug 2026

📅12/08/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.71
Over
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda The Market 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
376 Passes 288
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-1 HT 2-1 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS3
26.11.2022 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 1-2 HT 0-1 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS3
10.03.2019 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 2-0 HT 1-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
04.11.2018 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
10 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Rayo Majadahonda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alcorcon at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alcorcon had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcorcon and 1.00 for Rayo Majadahonda.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Alcorcon 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Friendlies on 12/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 53%, draw 26%, Rayo Majadahonda 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alcorcon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
12 Aug 2026
11:00 Cartagena vs Orihuela Analysis →
11:30 Sevilla II vs Merida AD Analysis →
12:30 Bergantinos vs Lugo Analysis →
18:30 Tordesillas vs Real Avila Analysis →
19:00 Nea Salamis vs Anorthosis Analysis →
19:15 Everton vs Newcastle Analysis →