12/08/2026
·
11:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Cartagena vs Orihuela Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
42%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
51%
28%
Draw
25%
25%
Away Win
24%
55%
Under 2.5
48%
45%
Over 2.5
52%
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
49%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cartagena v Orihuela — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Cartagena
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Orihuela
The Market 28%
-63% /
-63%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
0.00/2.18
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.84/6.43
-100%
/
-46%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+52%
/
-75%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
393 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
6.0
Cartagena vs Orihuela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Cartagena
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Orihuela
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
55%
Ball Possession
45%
9
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
1
The Meetings
Cartagena 3-0 Orihuela — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Cartagena
3-0
AWAY
Orihuela
6
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
2
1
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Cartagena vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Cartagena cruised past Orihuela 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cartagena as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 6-8.
What was the final score of Cartagena vs Orihuela?
Cartagena 3-0 Orihuela in the Friendlies on 12/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Orihuela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 47%, draw 28%, Orihuela 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Cartagena)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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HAZ
More Friendlies
12 Aug 2026