Bergantinos 0-3 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 12 Aug 2026

Bergantinos
0-3 HT 0-1
Lugo
📅12/08/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2026

Bergantinos vs Lugo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
69%
1.54
Over
31%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
39%
4-5
13%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 69% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
61%
+8.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
39%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.3pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bergantinos v Lugo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bergantinos The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo The Market 54%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.41
-100% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bergantinos vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo swept aside Bergantinos 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 40% — and on the day Lugo made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

What was the final score of Bergantinos vs Lugo?

Bergantinos 0-3 Lugo in the Friendlies on 12/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bergantinos vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bergantinos 28%, draw 32%, Lugo 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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