PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — UEFA Super Cup, 12 Aug 2026

PSG
vs
Aston Villa
📅12/08/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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UEFA Super Cup – 2026/2027

PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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PSG v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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PSG vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Aston Villa
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.73 xG 1.45
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
667 Passes 218
92% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.04.2025 Aston Villa Aston Villa 3-2 HT 1-2 PSG PSG ŞMP
09.04.2025 PSG PSG 3-1 HT 1-1 Aston Villa Aston Villa ŞMP
COMMENT PSG vs Aston Villa
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for PSG and 2.00 for Aston Villa.

When do PSG and Aston Villa play?

PSG play Aston Villa in the UEFA Super Cup on 12/08/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win PSG vs Aston Villa?

Our model's prediction for PSG vs Aston Villa is a PSG win at about 51% probability, priced 1.76 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is PSG 51%, draw 22%, Aston Villa 27%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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