Dundalk 3-1 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.73/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.44
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
290 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.07.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
09.05.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 2-2 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
14.03.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-3 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
18.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
17.08.2018 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
25.05.2018 Dundalk Dundalk 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
3-1
AWAY Bray Wanderers
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk got the better of Bray Wanderers 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 52% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 19-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 1.00 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers?

Dundalk 3-1 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 56%, draw 25%, Bray Wanderers 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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