Dundalk 2-2 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-8.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.67/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.88
-25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
449 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
14.03.2025 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-3 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
18.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
17.08.2018 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-3 HT 0-2 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
25.05.2018 Dundalk Dundalk 5-0 HT 3-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRL
13.04.2018 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
16.02.2018 Dundalk Dundalk 0-0 HT 0-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
2-2
AWAY Bray Wanderers
74% Ball Possession 26%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and Bray Wanderers couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Dundalk carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dundalk had 74% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 26%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Dundalk and 0.33 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers?

Dundalk 2-2 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 61%, draw 21%, Bray Wanderers 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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