Finn Harps 0-2 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.63/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.46
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Athlone Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
0-2
AWAY Athlone Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athlone Town saw off Finn Harps 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Finn Harps at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Finn Harps had 61% of the ball to Athlone Town's 39%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Finn Harps and 0.67 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Finn Harps 0-2 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 43%, draw 27%, Athlone Town 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Finn Harps) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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