Athlone Town 0-1 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.27
+13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
256 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Finn Harps
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-4 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.06.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
12.04.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
01.03.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 2-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.10.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 4-1 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
07.08.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 4-1 HT 4-1 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
0-1
AWAY Finn Harps
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Finn Harps edged past Athlone Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Athlone Town had 52% of the ball to Finn Harps's 48%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athlone Town and 2.00 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Athlone Town 0-1 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 43%, draw 28%, Finn Harps 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Athlone Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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